MOGADISHU, Somalia — The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) has issued a comprehensive weather forecast for Somalia, covering the period from May 13 to 19, 2026.
The forecast reveals a complex scenario, with areas experiencing light rainfall amidst persistent dry conditions. Light showers are expected over the Shabelle basin, Banadir, Bay, and coastal regions of Lower Juba, Galgaduud, and Mudug. These “warm-and-wet “conditions are anticipated to provide some relief for crops and pasture, benefiting the agriculture sector and livestock in these areas.
Conversely, large parts of the North, Northeast, Gedo, and Middle Juba will continue to face dry conditions.
The dry season, which typically brings increased water demand and heat stress, is expected to exacerbate the situation for both people and livestock. Of particular concern is the Shabelle River, which remains at a high risk of flooding. Elevated levels have been reported from Belet Weyne to Bulo Burte, Jowhar, Balcad, and Afgooye.
The Juba River, while currently below moderate flood — risk thresholds, also requires monitoring due to its levels being above the long-term mean.
The forecast comes as Somalia grapples with the aftermath of severe droughts in recent years, leading to food insecurity and displacement.
The Gu season, which usually brings heavy rainfall from May to September, has been less than generous in recent years, adding to the challenges faced by the country.
The FAO’s detailed weather forecasts are part of its commitment to supporting food security and resilience in the region.
The organization collaborates with local authorities and communities to ensure the forecasts are effectively utilized for decision — making and preparedness.
As Somalia’s weather patterns remain unpredictable, the forecast serves as a critical tool for planning and responding to the challenges ahead.
The FAO and its partners will continue to monitor the situation closely, working to ensure that communities have the necessary resources and support to cope with the current weather outlook.
*Additional reporting by ImNews | Sources consulted: 5*
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This original article was produced by the ImNews editorial team
Source: reliefweb
Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
