Nairobi, Kenya — Kenya’s super petrol reserves have dipped to a 16-day supply, prompting worries about fuel security in the face of Middle East tensions and supply chain disruptions. Treasury Cabinet Secretary John Mbadi informed the Parliamentary Energy Committee of the government’s oversight of petroleum reserves and incoming shipments, in light of the Strait of Hormuz closure.
As of now, Kenya holds 138,623 metric tonnes of super petrol, 207,841 metric tonnes of diesel, and 150,398 metric tonnes of jet fuel. Despite the government’s anticipation of 290,000 metric tonnes of super petrol deliveries between March and April, Kenya’s high monthly consumption poses a challenge.
The country’s monthly petrol consumption stands at 255,000 metric tonnes, diesel at 170,000 metric tonnes, and jet fuel at 80,000 metric tonnes.
The disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz have not only delayed shipments but also increased risks for cargo vessels. Industry stakeholders are closely monitoring vessels heading to Kenya, concerned about the potential depletion of stocks. Mbadi also warned of fiscal risks, predicting potential revenue losses of up to Sh60 billion in the 2025/26 financial year, influenced by the crisis’s duration.
Kenya’s reliance on petroleum imports and Middle East trade is evident in the monthly Sh30 billion in taxes and the annual Sh273 billion from Middle East imports.
The country’s financial position is also under scrutiny following the upcoming $2. 25 billion Eurobond transaction in February 2026.
The incoming shipments provide temporary relief but the risk of sustained instability in the Gulf region threatens to disrupt supply chains further in the coming months.
