Maputo, Mozambique — The final report of the Mozambique Disaster Relief Emergency Fund (DREF) operation, conducted by the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC), offers a detailed analysis of the risks and challenges facing Mozambique ahead of the 2024 presidential election.
The report reveals a scenario analysis indicating a heightened likelihood of violence and tension post — election. This comes against a backdrop of an already fragile context marked by a history of unrest and reported incidents of violence during the election campaign period. Following the October 9, 2024, election, the political situation in Mozambique rapidly deteriorated.
A period of intense demonstrations erupted over allegations of electoral irregularities, leading to a widespread protest movement.
The situation escalated on October 19, with the shooting of two opposition figures, sparking large-scale protests and a seven-day strike that began on October 31.
The strike, involving an estimated 1 million people occupying Maputo, resulted in significant disruptions to public services and led to injuries and fatalities as security forces attempted to maintain order. Opposition leaders framed the strike and protests as a response to the alleged election-related incidents, calling for unity within the security forces and raising concerns about potential internal confrontations. Internet, mobile, and social media networks across the country faced disruptions, increasing fears of communication shutdowns aimed at preventing the spread of information.
Despite joint statements by political parties and foreign embassies regarding the electoral process, the prospects for mediation efforts to prevent further escalation remained uncertain.
The IFRC’s risk scenario analysis emphasizes the need for a peaceful and transparent electoral process and underscores the importance of addressing underlying issues such as economic instability, humanitarian needs, and the broader impact of natural disasters on Mozambique’s society and infrastructure.
The report further highlights Mozambique’s complex challenges, including the ongoing humanitarian crisis in Cabo Delgado, the destruction of social services, and the impact of natural disasters such as cyclones and droughts, which have combined to create a volatile environment for the upcoming election and beyond.
As Mozambique moves forward, the country’s path to stability and security will require a comprehensive approach to governance, security, and economic growth.
The DREF final report serves as a critical roadmap for addressing these challenges and ensuring that the nation’s electoral process can be conducted in an environment free from violence and uncertainty.
*Additional reporting by ImNews | Sources consulted: 5*
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This original article was produced by the ImNews editorial team
Source: reliefweb
Source: International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies



